Performance: our hit rates are now public
Until now only visible in the dashboard and on Discord, now open to everyone without a login: hit rate, number of picks, period and expected hit rate for Top 10, My Bets, Bet Builder and Odds Alert.
From now on our hit rates are public. Until now you could only see them in the dashboard (with an account) and in our Discord performance messages. Now the website shows everyone, without a login, how often our picks hit. Every number comes with the number of picks and the period, plus the hit rate our model expected beforehand.
What is there
- Start page: four cards with a trend line, for Top 10 of the day, My Bets, Bet Builder and Odds Alert. Under “What's inside”, each of these four categories shows its key figure: hit so far, expected, number of picks since the start.
- Performance: key figures, trend, all days by month and week, and the explanation “How we count”.
- Results: every pick of the last 7 completed days, including the misses. The categories of each day are collapsed. Our own pick is marked in bold.
How we count
- Top 10 of the day counts from 25 Oct 2026: the ten picks of the ranking recorded in the morning.
- My Bets counts from 28 Aug 2026.
- Bet Builder counts the 20 picks of the day with the highest hit chance, from 19 Sep 2026. This is the same list we publish on Discord every day.
- Odds Alert counts from 23 Sep 2026: every alert once per match, a hit when the favourite wins.
- Every pick is recorded before kick-off. An evaluated pick is never changed or deleted.
- Matches are settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- The trend only begins once there are enough picks (My Bets and Bet Builder from 100, Odds Alert from 50, Top 10 from 20), because a few picks make the rate swing strongly.
Worth a Look
Worth a Look is an add-on to the dashboard. The category has only been running for a short time, delivers few matches per day and is currently (still) below expectation. We show no figures for it so far; they are pure hints.
18+ · Statistics, not betting advice